blank

Scouting Notes: Aidan Chronister at the Quincy Shootout

QUINCY, Ill. — Sometimes, numbers neatly arranged on a spreadsheet wash out context around a player’s skill set. 

For wing Aidan Chronister, they tell us that almost 90 percent of his shots for Sunrise Christian Academy come from behind the arc. That’s not a subtle hint. That’s the data screaming at you through a bullhorn.

Still, I’m a slave to nuance. I wanted to see how Chronister, the No. 69 player in the 2026 class, cooks up that shot diet. So, I schlepped five hours west to see the Buffaloes tangle with Wasatch Academy at the Quincy Shootout.

How long did it take to affirm the impression conveyed by Chronister’s stats in the EYBL Scholastic league? About two minutes. Because the 6-foot-7 Arkansan shoots the ball effortlessly: a wide base, shot pocket at the sternum, right hand behind the ball, energy transfer straight up, release point just above the eyebrow, flick of the wrist and thumb down.

And during a 67-59 loss, most of Chronister’s touches came to him spacing out to the weakside corner, filling behind a driver, or coming off a screen on inbounds play. He finished with 12 points on 4 of 9 shooting, including seven attempts beyond the arc. 

Afterward, I asked coach Kyle Linstead to offer a loose projection for the junior, who transferred to SCA over the summer. Linstead cast a quick look around, chuckled, and delivered this appraisal.  “We try to be cautious about comparisons,” he said. “But it’s hard not to think about Gradey.”

That’s Gradey Dick, who passed through Sunrise before spending a season with Kansas and coming off the board with the 13th pick in the NBA draft. Ambitious? Probably. As a junior, for example, Dick shot a ridiculous 45.2 percent from long range. Right now, Chronister checks in at a 36.5 percent clip.

blank

Oh, and there’s this, too. “I think I can do more than just shoot,” Chronister said. But for this season, though, the shape of Sunrise’s roster has resulted in being typecast and a role that Chronister’s embraced as a necessity. 

“We’ve got a lot of great guards,” Chronister said. “I’m willing to do whatever coach wants me to do. If he just wants me to shoot it, it’s what I’ll do.”

And shoot it, he has. Per Synergy Sports, his ten most common play types end with Chronister letting it fly from deep. And when left alone, he’s knocked down 43.8 percent of those looks. On film, though, those shots don’t really get your blood flowing. Again, you’ll most likely find him in the corner while a ball screen unfolds. He’s also a natural zone-buster.

Now, Chronister does get into his shot off movement, but right now, the most productive touches come in dead-ball situations. On inbounds plays, he’s frequently curling toward the corner over staggered screens. Or he might set a back screen for a big before receiving a pindown to pop out to the wing. When SCA’s running offense, he’ll occasionally shake loose in the corner from staggers along the baseline.

Meanwhile, Chronister’s also savvy about sprinting to the deep corners for kick-outs after SCA breaks pressure.

“Obviously, the floor spacing and the quick release are what stick out the most,” Linstead said. “But day in and day out, Aidan is a motor-up dude. He can play really, really hard.”

When he was still at Rogers High, a Class 6A school about 30 minutes north of Fayetteville, Chronister found abundant breathing room. He could quickly sprint into open space. Closeouts, relatively speaking, were slow. And even if a defender rotated on time, Chronister’s frame and release made them moot.

“That space is gone now,” Linstead said. 

Framed another way, Chronister’s shooting nearly 37 percent from bonus land against rosters packed with the kind of athletes he’ll see nightly in a high-major conference. The upside is what could happen once he finishes this season acclimating – and why a loose comp to Dick isn’t outlandish. 

And similar to Dick, Chronister’s shooting will make more of a dent if he can diversify his shot diet. That means putting the ball on the floor. “You’ve got to ripe through and be the first to initiate contact and drive those straight lines,” Linstead said. “He’s still gotta get to a place physically where he can do that.”

For his part, Chronister said that aspect of the game isn’t a complete unknown. This past summer, he manned all three guard spots with AAO Flight, which plays on the Puma-backed Pro16 circuit, bringing the ball up the floor, playing as a second-side initiator, and attacking closeouts. He expects that to happen again when grassroots season fires up in spring. 

“Plays are going to be run through me, too,” Chronister noted. 

It’s also how Missouri projects Chronister to fit on its roster. He said the staff’s pitch entails him sliding up the positional ladder to the combo guard spot, similar to how Tamar Bates is used in some lineups to get Caleb Grill on the floor.

“They see me as someone like that,” Chronister said. “Someone who’s a shooter but also a playmaker.”

Would that potentially conflict with the Tigers’ pursuit of JJ Andrews, a fellow Natural State native and a physical slasher? Not necessarily. “We think they complement each other,” a program source told me.

Linstead concurred with that assessment. Sliding Chronister down the positional ladder to play as a stretch four might entail packing as much as 25 pounds on his frame, and even then, he’d still be somewhat undersized. By contrast, he would only need more functional mass and strength to play off guard, where his size and length would be an additional boon defensively. 

Chronister knows those ambitions hinge on two obvious variables. “I’ve got to get my handle up,” he said. “And my body is on the lighter side. I’ve just got to get it college-ready. That’s the main thing.”

Only time, maturation, and a thoughtful conditioning program will reshape Chronister’s frame. As that happens, Linstead’s confident that Chronister’s upside will start emerging – on the defensive end. 

“He’s got room to grow defensively,” he said. “You know, guarding the ball and guarding the best players in the country. You don’t question him playing hard and chasing dudes. You know he’s going to contribute on the glass. But there’s room for growth.”

In the short term, though, Linstead said SCA’s staff is focused on the latter job – improving Chronister’s handle. That doesn’t exclusively mean drilling him on catch, rip, and go. Even if Chronister creates separation from a defender, he still needs to read the action around him. 

“Feel with the basketball in his hand and making plays for others,” he said. “Bouncing it in neutral and reverse sometimes instead of downhill. The league we play in will force you to do that – just like college will.”

There’s often a temptation to have players like Chronister build on their shooting prowess incrementally. For example, Trent Pierce’s coaches and trainers in his hometown emphasized him honing a one-dribble pull-up after a shot fake. But when he transferred to AZ Compass Prep for his senior season, that staff hammered home the need for him to apply rim pressure – a message carried over by MU’s associate head coach Charlton Young.

Linstead said that differentiation is one way he can better draw for Chronister in workouts. 

“That’s where I’ve got to do a better job as a coach,” he said. “In practice, we use him like we would in games. It has to be, ‘Hey, dude, no 3s today. You’ve gotta bounce it, create, and show some wiggle.’ We know Aidan is going to make shots for us. That’s where we’ve got to continue to push him. He’s so good at it, but those options need to be ready.”

Loading new replies...

Avatar of Matthew Harris
Matthew Harris

Mod

3,933 messages 2,733 likes

Pushed hard this morning to get this done: https://rockm.plus/mizzou-basketbal...otes-aidan-chronister-at-the-quincy-shootout/

Maybe it's perfect pregame reading. Or halftime reading. Or postgame reading. Or anytime reading.

Reply Like

r
rew5

Freshman

296 messages 160 likes

Nice. Sounds tailor-made for Gates' approach. A kind of Grill/Tamar/Pierce blend. Seal the deal!

Reply 1 like

S
SSO64

Freshman

18 messages 14 likes

His coach saying he has "room to grow" defensively gives me a little hesitation. Can he guard an SEC wing on the dribble? I'm sure Dennis and his staff wouldn't be interested if they didn't think he could at least learn to, but I also have really loved how disruptive this current team is. They create so much with deflections and pressure.

Excellent article! Keep them coming!

Reply 1 like

Avatar of Matthew Harris
Matthew Harris

Mod

3,933 messages 2,733 likes

Right now, he's solid off the ball, and he has the length to create some deflections in passing lanes. When I watched him, the issues cropped up if he didn't quiteget the steal and had to recover back. Smaller and quicker guards could exploit him on those resets. Also think you'll want him to add that functional strength to fight over screens.

But I also try to give some grace. He's a kid going through a massive step up in talent he faces each night compared to 6A hoops in Arkansas. There's going to be some acclimation required. Linstead kept hitting on that theme. Aidan's getting used to space closing quickly, actions going faster, etc. If he looks like a solid 3-and-D wing at the end of this year, that's progress. Trent also faced the same questions at this stage, and we're seeing what happens with buy-in and patience.

Reply Like

click to expand...
S
SSO64

Freshman

18 messages 14 likes

Good point regarding Trent. Even though the veteran transfers are still leading the way, I find the development of he and Ant to be the most compelling thing about this team. It gives me hope that getting to know players and watching their development might still be a thing in college basketball. Obviously it's also a great selling point for the staff as they recruit HS talent.

Reply 1 like

Avatar of Matthew Harris
Matthew Harris

Mod

3,933 messages 2,733 likes

Watkins did a great job laying out the blueprint last year for how this roster might get built. My question was how they would balance portal talent against high-school kids. But in either case, it's helpful to point to Trent for development and Bates settling into a role.

That was my low-key concern this year. It's easy to sell a blueprint for the first couple of seasons on the job. Then, recruits expect to see what the house looks like. I thought it hurt them a little bit for a kid like Hannah, whose agent essentially gave Bama a discount because of its track record and style under Oats. If MU had struggled or been mediocre, that's when the spiral effect could start.

Now, Gates and his staff can credibly say that 2023-24 was a funky outlier exacerbated by injury luck.

Reply Like

click to expand...
Avatar of NL_Fan
NL_Fan

Freshman

460 messages 147 likes

It seems like their primary exploitation of market inefficiencies is finding young kids with potential (a mix of raw athleticism/size plus the proper skillsets) and tapping them to come to Mizzou where they can be developed into at least role-players on a system-oriented team, and at best stars. The secondary exploitation seems to be valuing top/elite JUCO players.

What we don't know is how the high school development will work with NIL (if they succeed and get priced out of Mizzou) and a wide-open transfer portal (few minutes for freshmen). But you'd hope that kids who sign with Gates know the drill; they're going to have develop before getting that playtime.
Gates needs to put somebody else in the NBA, so that kids can see it's worth staying for 3-4 years to develop an all-around game to check boxes on that NBA scouting list. Hopefully someday it will be one of his own high school recruits.

But we saw that after a miserable year, the players stayed bought in...so it seems like it will be fine. Imagine going 0-fer and only losing one guy in this day and age. Even in that case, it was more because it was obvious that the team had a lot of bigs than the record.

Reply 3 likes

click to expand...
Avatar of Matthew Harris
Matthew Harris

Mod

3,933 messages 2,733 likes

My understanding is MU's willing to pay to retain. Will that always prevent defections? No. But I'm confident this staff possesses a healthy degree of prudence in how it leverages NIL resources.

They were confronted with a possible overpay situation this fall for Davion Hannah -- and quickly rebuffed the overture. The same was true for Tarris Reed last spring. Now, I think they'll have to make a robust offer to a proven combo guard from the portal this spring. But that's easy to budget for when you know what raises will look like to keep guys you nabbed out of high school.

Long term, the goal is to take two or three high school kids each year. For starters, it keeps the board smaller and lets you build deeper relationships with targets. Those relationships matter when you get into situations like we saw last year with the bagel in SEC action. And they will matter this year when (it's expected) MU retains all five freshmen. And crassly, that leads to easier player control from a financial perspective.

This staff has embraced the reality that it operates in a new labor market and adapts accordingly.

Reply Like

click to expand...
r
rew5

Freshman

296 messages 160 likes

Yeah, that's one of the things I love about Gates. He's a realist without being mercenary. Casual observers probably think that's an easy balance, but I strongly doubt it.

Reply Like

Avatar of Matthew Harris
Matthew Harris

Mod

3,933 messages 2,733 likes

This is the frame that's been given to me: Is a guy an NBA draft pick?

If he's not projected to go among the top 45 picks, why would you give him the equivalent of a rookie salary for a year? That doesn't mean he doesn't have value. Or that some other team won't pay the price and receive a benefit. But if you're MU, why spend seven figures on one guy when you can deploy it to get two portal guys or retain some young dudes?

I also think it's easier to tell boosters, "We're trying to be intelligent about how we use your dollars. We want to make smart investments in our roster." It's how you avoid situations we're seeing at K-State or Indiana, where boosters maxed out the credit card for one offseason and expect immediate returns.

Reply Like

click to expand...
Back To Top